10.5061/DRYAD.8P003SG
Rivrud, Inger Maren
University of Oslo
Meisingset, Erling L.
Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research
Loe, Leif Egil
Norwegian University of Life Sciences
Mysterud, Atle
University of Oslo
Data from: Future suitability of habitat in a migratory ungulate under
climate change
Dryad
dataset
2019
home range
IPCC
Cervus elaphus
2019-02-27T15:41:56Z
2019-02-27T15:41:56Z
en
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2019.0442
122281909 bytes
1
CC0 1.0 Universal (CC0 1.0) Public Domain Dedication
With climate change, the effect of global warming on snow cover is
expected to cause range expansion and enhance habitat suitability for
species at their northern distribution limits. However, how this depend on
landscape topography and sex in size-dimorphic species remains uncertain,
and is further complicated for migratory animals following climate-driven
seasonal resource fluctuations across vast landscapes. Using 11 years of
data from a partially migratory ungulate at their northern distribution
ranges, the red deer (Cervus elaphus), we predicted sex-specific summer
and winter habitat suitability in diverse landscapes under medium and
severe global warming. We found large increases in future winter habitat
suitability, resulting in expansion of winter ranges as currently
unsuitable habitat became suitable. Even moderate warming decreased snow
cover substantially, with no suitability difference between warming
scenarios. Winter ranges will hence not expand linearly with warming, even
for species at their northern distribution limits. Although less
pronounced than in winter, summer ranges also expanded and more so under
severe warming. Summer habitat suitability was positively correlated with
landscape topography and ranges expanded more for females than males. Our
study highlights the complexity of predicting future habitat suitability
for conservation and management of size-dimorphic, migratory species under
global warming.
RSF dataData supporting resource selection
functionsRSF_data_ProcRSocB_2019-0442.txt
Norway