10.48481/IASS.2021.023
Valeeva, Vilena
Vilena
Valeeva
Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies
Gabriel, Johannes
Johannes
Gabriel
Stephen, Kathrin
Kathrin
Stephen
Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies
Nikitina, Elena
Elena
Nikitina
Aksenov, Yevgeny
Yevgeny
Aksenov
Baronina, Yulia
Yulia
Baronina
Bartels, Marianne Pascale
Marianne Pascale
Bartels
Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies
Berchelmann, Hans Helmut
Hans Helmut
Berchelmann
Davydova, Angelina
Angelina
Davydova
Dethloff, Klaus
Klaus
Dethloff
Grigoriev, Mikhail
Mikhail
Grigoriev
Handorf, Dörthe
Dörthe
Handorf
Knizhnikov, Alexey
Alexey
Knizhnikov
Kotova, Lola
Lola
Kotova
Kuznetsov, Alexey
Alexey
Kuznetsov
Kulikova, Olga
Olga
Kulikova
Semenov, Vladimir
Vladimir
Semenov
Sulyandziga, Rodion
Rodion
Sulyandziga
Weger, Lindsey
Lindsey
Weger
Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies
Preparing for Uncertain Futures: Co-created scenarios for the Russian Arctic
Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies (IASS)
2021
Discussion Paper
en
2 MB
PDF
Creative Commons Attribution Share Alike 4.0 International
People living or working in the Arctic are faced with uncertainty regarding future social, political, economic, and environmental change. This uncertainty is due not least to the ongoing transformations caused by climate change. This paper presents results from a project entitled “Yamal 2040: Scenarios for the Russian Arctic”, which employed ‘Strategic Foresight’, a specific co-design and engagement methodology, to support stakeholders of one particular region in the Arctic, the Yamal-Nenets Autonomous Okrug (Yamal region) in Western Siberia, Russia. It was the project’s objective to respond to this situation of general uncertainty, to develop forward-looking scenarios to better understand the risks and opportunities associated with future transformations in the Arctic. The findings presented here may be of interest for stakeholders in other parts of the Arctic and Russia that depend on the exploitation of fossil fuels and/or are facing complex and uncertain situations.